美股天地 › 8/31/2026
聯儲局鷹派言論黃金短期承壓長期看好
Channel: Endgame MetalsPublished: 8/31/20260
黃金聯儲局加息美元貴金屬
聯儲局副主席凱文沃什於週五發表鷹派言論,成為當日市場的重要轉折點。市場交易員原先期望聯儲局保持溫和態度,但沃什的講話內容遠超預期的強硬程度,立即改變了市場預期。黃金價格應聲下跌超過百分之三,自逾五千四百美元的高位回落,現報美元四千七百附近,觸及關鍵技術支撐位美元四千四百二十五至四千四百五十元區間。白銀亦隨之下挫約百分之三點五。市場對聯儲局九月加息預期急劇上升,自上午的百分之三十六躍升至百分之六十,推升美債收益率與美元指數同步走強。 財政部長斯科特貝松關於美國財政部普通賬戶(TGA)的評論引起市場關注。若美國財政部將聯儲局資產負債表上、長期以美元四十二元記錄的黃金憑證重估至當前市價美元四千五百元水平,基於美國財政部持有約八千一百三十三公噸黃金,理論上將為財政部普通賬戶增加約一兆美元資金,無需舉借新債,可大幅提高美國政府的財政靈活性。 儘管黃金短期承受利率上升與美元升值的壓力,貴金屬專家詹姆斯里卡茲仍維持看好黃金的長期前景,預計黃金價格將於年底前或二〇二七年初出現上升。其看多理由包括:全球中央銀行持續為黃金的淨買家、黃金開採產量保持平穩、地緣政治風險升溫,以及黃金作為規避美國國債與美國制裁風險的替代資產地位堅實。技術分析師加瑞思索洛威指出,美債收益率與美元走勢將成為決定貴金屬後市的關鍵因素。若經濟數據表現疲弱,可能在聯儲局九月十五至十六日會議前改變市場情緒,為黃金帶來技術性反彈機會。
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